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Sochaux vs Boulogne

Sochaux vs Boulogne 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Sochaux

1–1

Boulogne

1.0Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Sochaux would usually take 1.4 points and Boulogne 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sochaux.

Sochaux −0.4 pts vs chancesBoulogne −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sochaux vs Boulogne stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sochaux

Boulogne

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Sochaux and Boulogne ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Sochaux win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sochaux – Annecy prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Sochaux vs Boulogne — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sochaux to win

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Sochaux Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sochaux 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Boulogne Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boulogne 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sochaux vs Boulogne 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sochaux vs Boulogne. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligue 2 - France

Sochaux1

Boulogne1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

· FT

Ligue 2 - France

Sochaux1

Boulogne1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

148%

X26%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	53%	47%	64%	36%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	64%	36%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	57%	43%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	40%	60%	73%	27%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	57%	43%
	40%	60%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

133%

X48%

218%

1st Score

156%

X9%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

20%

X-1

19%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

11.9%

1-1

11.9%

2-1

9.1%

0-0

8.6%

2-0

8.4%

0-1

8.0%

1-2

6.2%

2-2

4.9%

3-1

4.6%

3-0

4.1%

0-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sochaux vs Boulogne — Recent Form

Sochaux have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Boulogne have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sochaux

Boulogne

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Boulogne

1/5

Sochaux

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Boulogne

3/5

Sochaux

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Boulogne

4/5

Sochaux

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Boulogne

5/5

Sochaux

4/5

First Half Result

Boulogne

3/5

Sochaux

2/5

Correct Score

Boulogne

0/5

Sochaux

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sochaux – Annecy prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).