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Nancy vs Guingamp

Nancy vs Guingamp 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Nancy

1–0

Guingamp

2.9Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Nancy would usually take 2.5 points and Guingamp 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nancy.

Nancy +0.5 pts vs chancesGuingamp −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nancy vs Guingamp stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nancy had more than twice the shots on target

Nancy

Guingamp

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Nancy and Guingamp ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Nancy win with 37% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Clermont – Guingamp prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Nancy vs Guingamp — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nancy to win

Correct

Our model 37%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,733 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Nancy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nancy 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Guingamp Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Guingamp 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nancy vs Guingamp 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nancy vs Guingamp. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligue 2 - France

Nancy1

Guingamp0

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Ligue 2 - France

Nancy1

Guingamp0

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

137%

X26%

237%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	56%	44%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	59%	41%	83%	17%	94%	6%
	28%	72%	60%	40%	83%	17%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	59%	41%
	28%	72%	60%	40%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	83%	17%	94%	6%
	83%	17%	94%	6%

1st Half

127%

X43%

230%

1st Score

148%

X6%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

19%

X-X

17%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

1-2

8.5%

2-1

8.4%

0-1

7.9%

1-0

7.8%

2-2

6.4%

0-0

5.8%

2-0

5.6%

0-2

5.3%

3-1

4.0%

1-3

3.9%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Nancy vs Guingamp — Recent Form

Nancy have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Guingamp have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Nancy

Guingamp

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Guingamp

3/5

Nancy

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Guingamp

4/5

Nancy

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Guingamp

4/5

Nancy

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Guingamp

3/5

Nancy

4/5

First Half Result

Guingamp

1/5

Nancy

2/5

Correct Score

Guingamp

0/5

Nancy

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Clermont – Guingamp prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).