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Clermont vs Red Star

Clermont vs Red Star 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Clermont

2–3

Red Star

1.5Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Clermont would usually take 1.4 points and Red Star 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Red Star.

Clermont −1.4 pts vs chancesRed Star +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Clermont vs Red Star stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Red Star had more than twice the shots on target

Clermont

Red Star

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Clermont and Red Star ended 2-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Red Star win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Nantes – Clermont prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Clermont vs Red Star — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Red Star to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 79%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Clermont Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Clermont 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 829 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Red Star Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Red Star 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Clermont vs Red Star 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Clermont vs Red Star. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligue 2 - France

Clermont2

Red Star3

Winner

X2 76%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

· FT

Ligue 2 - France

Clermont2

Red Star3

Winner

X2 76%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

124%

X30%

246%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	33%	67%	59%	41%	69%	31%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	33%	67%	59%	41%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	69%	31%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	42%	58%	77%	23%	93%	7%	98%	2%
	26%	74%	60%	40%	83%	17%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	42%	58%	77%	23%
	26%	74%	60%	40%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	93%	7%	98%	2%
	83%	17%	95%	5%

1st Half

118%

X51%

232%

1st Score

134%

X11%

255%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

2-2

24%

X-2

18%

1-1

11%

X-1

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

0-1

13.1%

0-0

11.1%

1-2

8.9%

1-0

8.5%

0-2

8.4%

2-1

5.8%

2-2

4.5%

1-3

4.2%

0-3

4.0%

2-0

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Clermont vs Red Star — Recent Form

Red Star have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Clermont have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Red Star

Clermont

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Clermont

2/5

Red Star

5/5

Both Teams to Score

Clermont

3/5

Red Star

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Clermont

3/5

Red Star

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Clermont

3/5

Red Star

3/5

First Half Result

Clermont

2/5

Red Star

3/5

Correct Score

Clermont

1/5

Red Star

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Nantes – Clermont prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).