Always on the scoresheet
0/10Orlando City scored in all of their last 10 (league 21% fail to score).
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Chicago Fire vs Orlando City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Riding their luck
Orlando City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Orlando City 17% to winChicago Fire 63%
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert4.0 goals expected
4.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical Major League Soccer game (average 3.3).
goals expected
Chicago Fire2.4Orlando City1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Chicago Fire to win
Our model 52%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 409 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 187 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Chicago Fire ahead at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 6,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Chicago Fire Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Chicago Fire 2+ goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Orlando City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Orlando City 0–1 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Chicago Fire–
Orlando City–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
Chicago Fire–Orlando City–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
Full Time
152%
X22%
226%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 13% | 87% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 43% | 57% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 41% | 59% |
| 36% | 64% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 33% | 84% | 16% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
143%
X36%
221%
1st Score
163%
X3%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
17%
2-2
13%
X-X
11%
X-2
7%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.4%
0-1
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
0-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City: the stats that stand out
Major League Soccer
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Orlando City: always on the scoresheet
0/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Chicago Fire vs Orlando City: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Chicago Fire: weak attack, good defence (1.51 xG, 1.34 xGA a game)
- Orlando City: good attack, weak defence (1.67 xG, 2.23 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Chicago Fire vs Orlando City form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesOrlando City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Chicago FireBookmakers: 63% to win today.−0.9
- Orlando CityBookmakers: 17% to win today.Clinical · +7 goals+7.0
Last 5 matches
Chicago FireW
L
L
W
W
Orlando CityD
W
D
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Chicago Fire 6th of 30 · Orlando City 21st of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Chicago Fire vs Orlando City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredChicago Fire and Orlando City games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Major League Soccer average (64%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Chicago Fire7 of 10
Orlando City9 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Chicago Fire7 of 10
Orlando City8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 488 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Chicago Fire vs Orlando City corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 2.1
- Goals before half-time: league 46%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Chicago Fire4/5
Orlando City3/5
Both Teams to Score
Chicago Fire4/5
Orlando City5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Chicago Fire4/5
Orlando City5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Chicago Fire2/5
Orlando City0/5
First Half Result
Chicago Fire1/5
Orlando City4/5
Correct Score
Chicago Fire0/5
Orlando City0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction