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Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers 1-5 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders

1–5

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
1.2Chances (xG)2.6

On these chances Seattle Sounders would usually take 0.6 points and Portland Timbers 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Seattle Sounders.

Seattle Sounders −0.6 pts vs chancesPortland Timbers +0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Portland Timbers had clearly more shots on target

Seattle Sounders

Portland Timbers

6

Shots on target

10

1

Big chances

8

2

Corners

8

2

Yellow cards

0

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Seattle Sounders and Portland Timbers ended 1-5. Our AI model predicted a Seattle Sounders win at 64% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: San Diego – Seattle Sounders prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Seattle Sounders to win

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,063 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Seattle Sounders ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Seattle Sounders Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Seattle Sounders 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Portland Timbers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Portland Timbers 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,504 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers 1-5 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders1
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers5

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

164%
X20%
216%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Seattle Sounders15%85%41%59%
Portland Timbers51%49%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Seattle Sounders66%34%84%16%
Portland Timbers94%6%98%2%

1st Half

149%
X34%
217%

1st Score

165%
X6%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

18%

X-X

10%

2-2

9%

X-2

6%

2-1

5%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.4%

2-0

10.4%

2-1

9.3%

1-1

8.8%

3-0

7.0%

3-1

6.6%

0-0

6.1%

0-1

4.6%

2-2

4.2%

1-2

4.1%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: San Diego – Seattle Sounders prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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