New York City vs Chicago Fire Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
New York City vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
47.9% implied
Chicago Fire50%7/14+4.4%Above implied probability
New York City26.7%4/15-44.3%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.7% implied
Chicago Fire64.3%9/14+17.6%Strongly above implied probabilityNew York City60%9/15+9.7%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.6% implied
Chicago Fire71.4%10/14+30.8%Strongly above implied probabilityNew York City53.3%8/15-2.4%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.6% implied
Chicago Fire64.3%9/14+7.9%Above implied probabilityNew York City73.3%11/15+23%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
39.1% implied
Chicago Fire21.4%3/14-45.3%Below implied probabilityNew York City20%3/15-48.8%Below implied probabilityChicago Fire1/14New York City2/15Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for New York City and Chicago Fire across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Chicago Fire hit at 71% accuracy — that's 30.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for New York City sit 48.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
New York City vs Chicago Fire — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for New York City vs Chicago Fire. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
New York City–
Chicago Fire–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
New York City–Chicago Fire–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 57% | 43% |
| 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-X
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
New York City vs Chicago Fire — Prediction Form & Streaks
Chicago Fire have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. New York City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading New York City well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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Chicago FireNew York City