New York City vs Chicago Fire 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
New York City vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44.5% implied
Chicago Fire61.1%11/18+37.3%Strongly above implied probability
New York City26.3%5/19-40.9%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Chicago Fire72.2%13/18+32.7%Strongly above implied probabilityNew York City68.4%13/19+25.7%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.1% implied
Chicago Fire77.8%14/18+43.8%Strongly above implied probabilityNew York City63.2%12/19+16.8%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
61.1% implied
Chicago Fire61.1%11/180%Above implied probabilityNew York City68.4%13/19+11.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.7% implied
Chicago Fire27.8%5/18-28.2%Below implied probabilityNew York City26.3%5/19-32%Below implied probabilityChicago Fire2/18New York City2/19Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for New York City and Chicago Fire across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Chicago Fire hit at 78% accuracy — that's 43.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for New York City sit 40.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
New York City vs Chicago Fire 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for New York City vs Chicago Fire. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
New York City3
Chicago Fire1Winner
1X 64%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
New York City3Chicago Fire1Winner
1X 64%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
| 28% | 72% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-X
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
New York City vs Chicago Fire — Prediction Form & Streaks
Chicago Fire have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. New York City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Chicago Fire well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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Chicago FireNew York City