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St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City

1–0

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
0.8Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances St. Louis City would usually take 1.4 points and Colorado Rapids 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: St. Louis City.

St. Louis City +1.6 pts vs chancesColorado Rapids −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

St. Louis City had more than twice the shots on target

St. Louis City

Colorado Rapids

3

Shots on target

0

0

Big chances

0

10

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

65%

Possession

35%

The match between St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a St. Louis City win with 56% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Portland Timbers – Colorado Rapids prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Louis City to win

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,980 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Louis City ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 46%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

St. Louis City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Louis City 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Colorado Rapids Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Colorado Rapids 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City1
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids0

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

156%
X22%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
St. Louis City18%82%46%54%
Colorado Rapids43%57%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
St. Louis City72%28%88%12%
Colorado Rapids91%9%97%3%

1st Half

146%
X36%
217%

1st Score

165%
X6%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

9%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.3%

1-0

10.2%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

9.2%

3-1

6.0%

3-0

5.8%

0-0

5.6%

0-1

5.5%

1-2

5.4%

2-2

5.1%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Portland Timbers – Colorado Rapids prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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