New York City vs Toronto Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
New York City vs Toronto — Major League Soccer Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
47.3% implied
Toronto37.5%6/16-20.7%Below implied probability
New York City25%4/16-47.1%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.7% implied
Toronto75%12/16+37.1%Strongly above implied probabilityNew York City62.5%10/16+14.3%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.6% implied
Toronto50%8/16-8.4%Near implied probabilityNew York City56.3%9/16+3.1%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.6% implied
Toronto62.5%10/16+4.9%Above implied probabilityNew York City75%12/16+25.8%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.9% implied
Toronto43.8%7/16+12.6%Strongly above implied probabilityNew York City18.8%3/16-51.7%Below implied probabilityToronto3/16New York City2/16Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for New York City and Toronto across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Both Teams To Score predictions for Toronto hit at 75% accuracy — that's 37.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for New York City sit 51.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
New York City vs Toronto — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for New York City vs Toronto. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
New York City–
Toronto–Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
New York City–Toronto–Winner
1 56%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 49% | 51% |
| 45% | 55% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
18%
X-X
13%
2-2
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
6%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
New York City vs Toronto — Prediction Form & Streaks
New York City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Toronto have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading New York City well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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