New York City vs Toronto 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
New York City vs Toronto — Major League Soccer Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44.9% implied
Toronto38.9%7/18-13.4%Below implied probability
New York City27.8%5/18-38.1%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Toronto72.2%13/18+32.7%Strongly above implied probabilityNew York City66.7%12/18+22.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.2% implied
Toronto50%9/18-7.7%Near implied probabilityNew York City61.1%11/18+12.7%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
61.2% implied
Toronto66.7%12/18+9%Above implied probabilityNew York City72.2%13/18+18%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.8% implied
Toronto38.9%7/18+0.3%Above implied probabilityNew York City22.2%4/18-42.8%Below implied probabilityToronto3/18New York City2/18Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for New York City and Toronto across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Both Teams To Score predictions for Toronto hit at 72% accuracy — that's 32.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for New York City sit 42.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
New York City vs Toronto 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for New York City vs Toronto. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
New York City1
Toronto1Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
New York City1Toronto1Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| 44% | 56% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
16%
X-X
14%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
6%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
New York City vs Toronto — Prediction Form & Streaks
New York City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Toronto have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading New York City well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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New York CityToronto