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DC United vs New England 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
DC UnitedDC United

0–3

New EnglandNew England
1.7Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances DC United would usually take 1.3 points and New England 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: DC United.

DC United −1.3 pts vs chancesNew England +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

DC United vs New England stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

New England had more than twice the shots on target

DC United

New England

3

Shots on target

7

4

Big chances

4

4

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

2

39%

Possession

61%

The match between DC United and New England ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a DC United win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: New England – New York RB prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

DC United vs New England — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

DC United to win

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

DC United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

DC United 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

New England Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

New England 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

DC United vs New England 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for DC United vs New England. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
DC UnitedDC United0
New EnglandNew England3

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

138%
X27%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
DC United29%71%61%39%
New England31%69%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
DC United84%16%95%5%
New England85%15%95%5%

1st Half

129%
X42%
229%

1st Score

147%
X7%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

1-1

20%

X-X

15%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-0

9.6%

0-1

8.8%

2-1

8.1%

1-2

7.7%

0-0

7.3%

2-0

6.4%

2-2

5.9%

0-2

5.5%

3-1

4.0%

1-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: New England – New York RB prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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