1. New York City vs Nashville SC

New York City vs Nashville SC 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
New York CityNew York City

0–0

Nashville SCNashville SC
0.6Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances New York City would usually take 0.9 points and Nashville SC 1.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Nashville SC.

New York City +0.1 pts vs chancesNashville SC −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

New York City vs Nashville SC stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nashville SC had more than twice the shots on target

New York City

Nashville SC

1

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

1

3

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

4

44%

Possession

57%

The match between New York City and Nashville SC ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a New York City win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: New York City – Atlanta United prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

New York City vs Nashville SC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

New York City to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Nashville SC to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

New York City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

New York City 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Nashville SC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nashville SC 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

New York City vs Nashville SC 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for New York City vs Nashville SC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
New York CityNew York City0
Nashville SCNashville SC0

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

140%
X25%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
New York City26%74%57%43%
Nashville SC29%71%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
New York City81%19%93%7%
Nashville SC83%17%94%6%

1st Half

133%
X41%
227%

1st Score

149%
X5%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

18%

X-X

16%

X-1

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

2-1

8.7%

1-2

8.1%

1-0

8.0%

0-1

7.0%

2-2

6.4%

2-0

5.9%

0-0

5.5%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.4%

1-3

3.7%

3-2

3.1%

3-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: New York City – Atlanta United prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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