Toronto vs Chicago Fire Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Toronto vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.3% implied
Toronto36.4%8/22-13.9%Below implied probability
Chicago Fire57.1%12/21+35%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Toronto77.3%17/22+42.1%Strongly above implied probabilityChicago Fire76.2%16/21+40.1%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Toronto54.5%12/22+1.1%Above implied probabilityChicago Fire76.2%16/21+41.4%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.4% implied
Toronto68.2%15/22+12.9%Strongly above implied probabilityChicago Fire61.9%13/21+2.5%Above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Toronto31.8%7/22-15.6%Below implied probabilityChicago Fire28.6%6/21-24.1%Below implied probabilityToronto4/22Chicago Fire3/21Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Toronto and Chicago Fire across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Both Teams To Score predictions for Toronto hit at 77% accuracy — that's 42.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Chicago Fire sit 24.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Toronto vs Chicago Fire — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Toronto vs Chicago Fire. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Toronto–
Chicago Fire–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Toronto–Chicago Fire–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 68% | 32% |
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
1-1
16%
X-2
15%
X-X
14%
X-1
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.6%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Toronto vs Chicago Fire — Prediction Form & Streaks
Chicago Fire have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Toronto have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Toronto well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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