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Minnesota United vs Dallas 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United

1–2

DallasDallas
0.8Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Minnesota United would usually take 0.8 points and Dallas 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Minnesota United.

Minnesota United −0.8 pts vs chancesDallas +1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Minnesota United vs Dallas stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Dallas had more than twice the shots on target

Minnesota United

Dallas

2

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

5

2

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

2

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Minnesota United and Dallas ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Minnesota United win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Minnesota United vs Dallas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minnesota United to win

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minnesota United ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Minnesota United Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Minnesota United 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Minnesota United 2+ goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,028 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.

Dallas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dallas 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Minnesota United vs Dallas 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Minnesota United vs Dallas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota United1
DallasDallas2

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

144%
X27%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Minnesota United28%72%59%41%
Dallas38%62%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Minnesota United81%20%92%8%
Dallas91%9%97%3%

1st Half

143%
X39%
218%

1st Score

161%
X10%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

17%

X-X

14%

2-2

10%

X-2

8%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

1-0

10.3%

0-0

9.5%

0-1

9.4%

2-1

8.5%

2-0

6.9%

1-2

6.5%

0-2

4.9%

2-2

4.8%

3-1

4.3%

3-0

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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