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Sporting KC vs Los Angeles FC 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
Sporting KCSporting KC

3–1

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
2.0Chances (xG)2.4

On these chances Sporting KC would usually take 1.2 points and Los Angeles FC 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Los Angeles FC.

Sporting KC +1.8 pts vs chancesLos Angeles FC −1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sporting KC vs Los Angeles FC stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sporting KC

Los Angeles FC

8

Shots on target

8

2

Big chances

4

6

Corners

13

2

Yellow cards

2

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Sporting KC and Los Angeles FC ended 3-1. Our AI model predicted an Los Angeles FC win at 55% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting KC – Austin prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Sporting KC vs Los Angeles FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC to win

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Los Angeles FC ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Sporting KC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting KC 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 77%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Los Angeles FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sporting KC vs Los Angeles FC 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sporting KC vs Los Angeles FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
Sporting KCSporting KC3
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC1

Winner

2 55%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

121%
X24%
255%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sporting KC45%55%77%23%
Los Angeles FC20%80%49%51%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sporting KC93%7%98%2%
Los Angeles FC75%25%90%10%

1st Half

123%
X39%
237%

1st Score

138%
X7%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

17%

1-1

12%

X-X

12%

X-1

8%

1-X

5%

1-2

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

11.8%

1-1

10.8%

0-2

10.0%

1-2

9.3%

0-0

7.2%

1-0

6.6%

1-3

5.6%

0-3

5.4%

2-1

5.0%

2-2

5.0%

2-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting KC – Austin prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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