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Real Salt Lake vs New York City 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Smash-and-grab

New York City won with less than half the chances

Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake

0–2

New York CityNew York City
1.5Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Real Salt Lake would usually take 2.1 points and New York City 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Salt Lake.

Real Salt Lake −2.1 pts vs chancesNew York City +2.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Salt Lake vs New York City stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Real Salt Lake had more than twice the shots on target

Real Salt Lake

New York City

6

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

0

10

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

2

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Real Salt Lake and New York City ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Real Salt Lake win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Real Salt Lake – St. Louis City prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Real Salt Lake vs New York City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Salt Lake to win

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Salt Lake ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Real Salt Lake Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Salt Lake 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

New York City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

New York City 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Salt Lake vs New York City 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Salt Lake vs New York City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake0
New York CityNew York City2

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

147%
X25%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Real Salt Lake20%80%49%51%
New York City33%67%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Real Salt Lake75%25%90%10%
New York City86%14%96%4%

1st Half

139%
X39%
222%

1st Score

159%
X5%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

7.9%

1-2

7.2%

2-0

6.7%

2-2

6.6%

0-1

5.8%

3-1

5.5%

0-0

4.7%

3-0

4.0%

0-2

3.7%

3-2

3.7%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Real Salt Lake – St. Louis City prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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