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Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result

Houston Dynamo

0–2

Sporting KC

1.7Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Houston Dynamo would usually take 1.7 points and Sporting KC 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Houston Dynamo.

Houston Dynamo −1.7 pts vs chancesSporting KC +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Houston Dynamo

Sporting KC

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

51%

Possession

50%

The match between Houston Dynamo and Sporting KC ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Houston Dynamo win at 67% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Houston Dynamo to win

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Houston Dynamo ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Houston Dynamo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Houston Dynamo 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Sporting KC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting KC 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 82%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,504 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Houston Dynamo0

Sporting KC2

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Houston Dynamo0

Sporting KC2

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

167%

X19%

214%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	79%	43%	57%	56%	44%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	13%	87%	39%	61%	65%	35%	84%	16%
	53%	47%	82%	18%	95%	5%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	13%	87%	39%	61%
	53%	47%	82%	18%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	65%	35%	84%	16%
	95%	5%	99%	1%

1st Half

148%

X35%

216%

1st Score

165%

X6%

229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

20%

X-X

10%

2-2

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

11.6%

2-0

11.3%

2-1

10.0%

1-1

8.7%

3-0

8.1%

3-1

6.4%

0-0

5.8%

0-1

4.2%

2-2

4.0%

1-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC — Recent Form

Houston Dynamo have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Sporting KC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Houston Dynamo

Sporting KC

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sporting KC

2/5

Houston Dynamo

0/5

Both Teams to Score

Sporting KC

5/5

Houston Dynamo

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sporting KC

4/5

Houston Dynamo

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sporting KC

2/5

Houston Dynamo

1/5

First Half Result

Sporting KC

1/5

Houston Dynamo

1/5

Correct Score

Sporting KC

1/5

Houston Dynamo

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).