Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Charlotte are taking more points than their chances usually bring
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Columbus Crew expected to create clearly more
3.0 goals in total, a little under the Major League Soccer average of 3.2.
goals expected
Columbus Crew1.8
Charlotte1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Columbus Crew vs Charlotte — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Columbus Crew to win
Our track record
In 2,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
Our model’s pick
Columbus Crew ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Columbus Crew 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Charlotte 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Columbus Crew–
Charlotte–Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Columbus Crew–Charlotte–Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 46% | 54% |
| 35% | 65% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
16%
X-X
12%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.4%
2-1
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Columbus Crew: weak attack, good defence (1.21 xG, 1.37 xGA a game)
- Charlotte: weak attack, weak defence (1.42 xG, 1.93 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Columbus Crew vs Charlotte form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesCharlotte are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Columbus CrewBookmakers: 48% to win today.−2.5
- CharlotteBookmakers: 27% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+7.1
Last 5 matches
CharlotteColumbus CrewStrength rank: Columbus Crew 9th of 30 · Charlotte 15th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredColumbus Crew and Charlotte games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Major League Soccer average (64%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 455 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Columbus Crew vs Charlotte corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Major League Soccer average
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
4.9
Corners won · league 5.0
4.4
3.7
Corners conceded · league 5.0
8.6
2.1
Cards · league 2.1
2.1
2.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.1
40%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
53%
27%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
11%
65%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
38%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Columbus CrewCharlotteBoth Teams to Score
Columbus CrewCharlotteOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Columbus CrewCharlotteOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Columbus CrewCharlotteFirst Half Result
Columbus CrewCharlotteCorrect Score
Columbus CrewCharlotte