Debrecen vs Győri ETO 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Debrecen drew despite more chances
Debrecen1–1
Győri ETOOn these chances Debrecen would usually take 2.0 points and Győri ETO 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Debrecen.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Debrecen vs Győri ETO stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Debrecen had more than twice the shots on target
Debrecen
Győri ETO
6
Shots on target
1
4
Big chances
4
13
Corners
5
3
Yellow cards
2
43%
Possession
57%
Debrecen vs Győri ETO — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Győri ETO to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Debrecen to win.
Our track record
In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Győri ETO ahead at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Debrecen 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Győri ETO 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Debrecen vs Győri ETO 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Debrecen vs Győri ETO. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Debrecen1
Győri ETO1Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Debrecen1Győri ETO1Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 54% | 46% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| 21% | 79% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
1-1
16%
X-2
15%
X-X
13%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score