Várda SE vs Győri ETO 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
NB I. - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Várda SE1–1
Győri ETOOn these chances Várda SE would usually take 1.9 points and Győri ETO 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Győri ETO.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Várda SE vs Győri ETO stats: how the match was played
NB I.
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Várda SE had clearly more shots on target
Várda SE
Győri ETO
3
Shots on target
2
3
Big chances
1
8
Corners
3
2
Yellow cards
4
44%
Possession
56%
Várda SE vs Győri ETO — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · NB I.
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Győri ETO to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Győri ETO ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Várda SE 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Győri ETO 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Várda SE vs Győri ETO 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Várda SE vs Győri ETO. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Várda SE1
Győri ETO1Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Várda SE1Győri ETO1Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 65% | 35% |
| 19% | 81% | 44% | 56% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 69% | 31% | 85% | 15% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
32%
1-1
15%
X-2
15%
X-X
12%
X-1
8%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score