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El Geish vs Al Mokawloon 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
El GeishEl Geish

1–0

Al MokawloonAl Mokawloon
1.2Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances El Geish would usually take 1.7 points and Al Mokawloon 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: El Geish.

El Geish +1.3 pts vs chancesAl Mokawloon −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

El Geish vs Al Mokawloon stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

El Geish

Al Mokawloon

5

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

0

5

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

2

56%

Possession

44%

The match between El Geish and Al Mokawloon ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted a draw at 35% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: ENPPI – Al Mokawloon prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

El Geish vs Al Mokawloon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: El Geish to win.

Our model 35%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 89%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.7% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

El Geish Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

El Geish 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Al Mokawloon Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Mokawloon 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

El Geish vs Al Mokawloon 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for El Geish vs Al Mokawloon. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
El GeishEl Geish1
Al MokawloonAl Mokawloon0

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

No 62%

Correct Score

0-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 73%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 78%

Full Time

133%
X35%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT46%54%73%27%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT78%22%95%5%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
El Geish40%60%77%23%
Al Mokawloon41%59%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
El Geish93%7%99%1%
Al Mokawloon94%6%99%1%

1st Half

124%
X53%
223%

1st Score

142%
X17%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

27%

1-1

17%

2-2

17%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-0

17.3%

1-1

14.4%

1-0

14.3%

0-1

14.0%

2-0

6.6%

0-2

6.2%

2-1

6.2%

1-2

6.2%

2-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: ENPPI – Al Mokawloon prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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