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Olympic El Qanah vs El Gounah 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Robbed

El Gounah drew despite more chances

Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah

1–1

El GounahEl Gounah
0.5Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Olympic El Qanah would usually take 0.7 points and El Gounah 2.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Olympic El Qanah.

Olympic El Qanah +0.3 pts vs chancesEl Gounah −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Olympic El Qanah vs El Gounah stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

El Gounah had more than twice the shots on target

Olympic El Qanah

El Gounah

1

Shots on target

6

0

Big chances

0

1

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

4

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Olympic El Qanah and El Gounah ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Olympic El Qanah win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: El Gounah – Smouha prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Olympic El Qanah vs El Gounah — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympic El Qanah to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 91%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Olympic El Qanah Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympic El Qanah 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

El Gounah Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

El Gounah 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Olympic El Qanah vs El Gounah 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Olympic El Qanah vs El Gounah. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
Olympic El QanahOlympic El Qanah1
El GounahEl Gounah1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 74%

Full Time

139%
X32%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT74%26%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Olympic El Qanah32%68%70%30%
El Gounah39%61%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Olympic El Qanah90%10%97%3%
El Gounah92%8%98%2%

1st Half

125%
X53%
222%

1st Score

147%
X13%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

1-1

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.8%

1-0

14.0%

0-0

12.6%

0-1

10.8%

2-1

8.2%

2-0

7.0%

1-2

6.8%

0-2

4.9%

2-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: El Gounah – Smouha prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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