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Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol

0–1

National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt
0.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Asyut Petrol would usually take 1.1 points and National Bank of Egypt 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: National Bank of Egypt.

Asyut Petrol −1.1 pts vs chancesNational Bank of Egypt +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Asyut Petrol

National Bank of Egypt

4

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

1

1

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

4

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Asyut Petrol and National Bank of Egypt ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an National Bank of Egypt win with 55% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Asyut Petrol – Zamalek prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

National Bank of Egypt to win

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Asyut Petrol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asyut Petrol 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

National Bank of Egypt Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

National Bank of Egypt 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
Asyut PetrolAsyut Petrol0
National Bank of EgyptNational Bank of Egypt1

Winner

2 55%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

117%
X28%
255%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Asyut Petrol50%50%84%16%
National Bank of Egypt23%77%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Asyut Petrol98%2%100%0%
National Bank of Egypt81%19%94%6%

1st Half

116%
X47%
237%

1st Score

129%
X11%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

X-X

21%

X-2

19%

1-1

9%

X-1

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

15.1%

1-1

13.1%

0-2

11.6%

0-0

11.5%

1-2

9.1%

1-0

7.6%

0-3

5.5%

1-3

4.5%

2-1

4.3%

2-2

3.3%

2-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Asyut Petrol – Zamalek prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

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