1. Zamalek vs Abu Qir Fertilizers

Zamalek vs Abu Qir Semad 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
ZamalekZamalek

2–0

Abu Qir SemadAbu Qir Semad
1.0Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Zamalek would usually take 1.2 points and Abu Qir Semad 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Zamalek.

Zamalek +1.8 pts vs chancesAbu Qir Semad −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Zamalek vs Abu Qir Semad stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Zamalek

Abu Qir Semad

5

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

0

4

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

3

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Zamalek and Abu Qir Semad ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Zamalek win with 49% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Masry – Abu Qir Semad prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Zamalek vs Abu Qir Semad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zamalek to win

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 67%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Zamalek ahead at half-time.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Zamalek Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zamalek 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Zamalek 2+ goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.

Abu Qir Semad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abu Qir Semad 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zamalek vs Abu Qir Semad 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zamalek vs Abu Qir Semad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
ZamalekZamalek2
Abu Qir SemadAbu Qir Semad0

Winner

1X 80%

BTTS*

No 60%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

Full Time

149%
X31%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT40%60%67%33%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT75%25%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Zamalek28%72%64%36%
Abu Qir Semad50%50%84%16%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Zamalek86%14%95%5%
Abu Qir Semad96%4%99%1%

1st Half

135%
X50%
215%

1st Score

155%
X14%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-X

22%

X-1

18%

2-2

9%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

16.5%

0-0

14.3%

1-1

13.1%

2-0

10.3%

0-1

9.2%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

4.5%

3-0

4.2%

3-1

3.4%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Masry – Abu Qir Semad prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores