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Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
SmouhaSmouha

0–2

Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra
0.8Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Smouha would usually take 1.5 points and Ceramica Cleopatra 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Ceramica Cleopatra.

Smouha −1.5 pts vs chancesCeramica Cleopatra +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Smouha

Ceramica Cleopatra

3

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

1

4

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

1

47%

Possession

54%

The match between Smouha and Ceramica Cleopatra ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Ceramica Cleopatra win with 40% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: El Gounah – Smouha prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ceramica Cleopatra to win

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.7% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Smouha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Smouha 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Ceramica Cleopatra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ceramica Cleopatra 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Egypt
SmouhaSmouha0
Ceramica CleopatraCeramica Cleopatra2

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 60%

Correct Score

0-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 76%

Full Time

127%
X33%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT40%60%68%32%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT76%24%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Smouha43%57%78%22%
Ceramica Cleopatra34%66%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Smouha94%6%99%1%
Ceramica Cleopatra90%10%97%3%

1st Half

122%
X51%
228%

1st Score

138%
X15%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

2-2

21%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-0

14.8%

0-1

14.6%

1-1

14.3%

1-0

10.9%

0-2

7.9%

1-2

7.4%

2-1

6.0%

2-0

5.0%

2-2

3.4%

0-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: El Gounah – Smouha prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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