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Newcastle United vs Leeds United

Newcastle United vs Leeds United 4-3 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 21)

The match between Newcastle United and Leeds United ended 4-3. Our AI model correctly predicted a Newcastle United win with 56% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Tottenham Hotspur – Newcastle United prediction & betting tips (Aug 29, 2026).

Newcastle United vs Leeds United 4-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Newcastle United vs Leeds United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - England

Newcastle United4

Leeds United3

Winner

1 56%

BTTS**

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Premier League - England

Newcastle United4

Leeds United3

Winner

1 56%

BTTS**

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

156%

X23%

221%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	27%	73%	51%	49%	63%	37%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	27%	73%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	51%	49%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	47%	53%	78%	22%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	51%	49%
	47%	53%	78%	22%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

135%

X42%

223%

1st Score

155%

X8%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.3%

2-0

10.9%

1-1

10.5%

2-1

9.5%

0-0

7.8%

0-1

6.1%

3-0

6.1%

1-2

5.1%

3-1

4.9%

2-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score