Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion 4-3 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Premier League Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 2 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
43.2% implied
Chelsea60%3/5+38.9%Strongly above implied probability
Brighton & Hove Albion40%2/5-7.4%Near implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Chelsea80%4/5+47.1%Strongly above implied probabilityBrighton & Hove Albion20%1/5-63.2%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Chelsea100%5/5+85.9%Strongly above implied probabilityBrighton & Hove Albion80%4/5+48.7%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.3% implied
Chelsea40%2/5-32.5%Below implied probabilityBrighton & Hove Albion40%2/5-32.5%Below implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
Chelsea40%2/5+6.4%Above implied probabilityBrighton & Hove Albion20%1/5-46.8%Below implied probabilityChelsea1/5Brighton & Hove Albion0/5Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Chelsea hit at 100% accuracy — that's 85.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 53.8%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Brighton & Hove Albion sit 63.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion 4-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Chelsea4
Brighton & Hove Albion3Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Chelsea4Brighton & Hove Albion3Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% |
| 31% | 69% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
16%
2-2
16%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Prediction Form & Streaks
Brighton & Hove Albion have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Chelsea have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Chelsea well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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Brighton & Hove AlbionChelsea