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Zenit vs Rostov

Zenit vs Rostov Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Wasteful

Rostov are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10

77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Rostov 9% to winZenit 75%

Zenit vs Rostov score prediction

Premier League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Zenit expected to score more than twice as many as Rostov

2.6 goals in total, in line with the Premier League average of 2.6.

goals expected

Zenit1.9

Rostov0.7

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Zenit vs Rostov: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Zenit vs Rostov — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zenit to win

Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 326 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Zenit vs Rostov — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Zenit vs Rostov. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Premier League - Russia

Zenit–

Rostov–

Winner

1 72%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Premier League - Russia

Zenit–

Rostov–

Winner

1 72%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

172%

X18%

210%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%	61%	39%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	12%	88%	38%	62%	65%	35%	84%	16%
	60%	40%	89%	11%	98%	2%	100%	0%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	12%	88%	38%	62%
	60%	40%	89%	11%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	65%	35%	84%	16%
	98%	2%	100%	0%

1st Half

152%

X35%

213%

1st Score

171%

X7%

222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

48%

X-1

20%

X-X

11%

2-2

X-2

2-1

1-X

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

14.1%

2-0

14.0%

3-0

9.8%

2-1

9.7%

1-1

8.5%

0-0

6.5%

3-1

6.3%

0-1

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Zenit vs Rostov: the stats that stand out

Premier League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Rostov: shot-shy and brick wall · Zenit: banker as favourites

Shot-shy

5/10

Rostov failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 27%).

Banker as favourites

7/9

Zenit won 7 of 9 as favourites (league 53%).

Brick wall

4/10

Rostov kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Zenit vs Rostov: attack vs defence

Premier League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Zenit: good attack, good defence (1.85 xG, 1.08 xGA a game)
Rostov: weak attack, good defence (1.28 xG, 1.27 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Zenit vs Rostov form and luck check

Premier League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League games

Both results in line with their chances

ZenitBookmakers: 75% to win today.
+0.6
RostovBookmakers: 9% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals
−1.7

Last 5 matches

Zenit

1st in table

Rostov

8th in table

Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Zenit 1st of 16 · Rostov 8th of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Zenit vs Rostov: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Premier League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Rostov games less often than the Premier League average (54%), in Zenit games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%

Zenit7 of 10

Rostov4 of 10

BTTSleague 54%

Zenit6 of 10

Rostov3 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 233 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Zenit vs Rostov corners, cards and goal times

Premier League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro

Corners won: league 4.6
Cards: league 2.3
Goals before half-time: league 45%
Goals after 75': league 23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Zenit

4/5

Rostov

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Zenit

3/5

Rostov

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Zenit

2/5

Rostov

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Zenit

2/5

Rostov

5/5

First Half Result

Zenit

0/5

Rostov

2/5

Correct Score

Zenit

1/5

Rostov

0/5

correct predictionwrong prediction