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Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krasnodar

Makhachkala vs Krasnodar 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result

Makhachkala

0–1

Krasnodar

0.8Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Makhachkala would usually take 1.3 points and Krasnodar 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Krasnodar.

Makhachkala −1.3 pts vs chancesKrasnodar +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Makhachkala vs Krasnodar stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Krasnodar had more than twice the shots on target

Makhachkala

Krasnodar

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Makhachkala and Krasnodar ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Krasnodar win with 53% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Makhachkala vs Krasnodar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Krasnodar to win

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Makhachkala Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Makhachkala 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Krasnodar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Krasnodar 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Makhachkala vs Krasnodar 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Makhachkala vs Krasnodar. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Makhachkala0

Krasnodar1

Winner

2 53%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Makhachkala0

Krasnodar1

Winner

2 53%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

121%

X26%

253%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	54%	46%	66%	34%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	44%	56%	78%	22%	94%	6%	99%	1%
	21%	79%	53%	47%	79%	21%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	78%	22%
	21%	79%	53%	47%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	94%	6%	99%	1%
	79%	21%	92%	8%

1st Half

118%

X44%

237%

1st Score

134%

X8%

258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

X-X

18%

X-2

18%

1-1

11%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

0-1

12.8%

1-1

12.0%

0-2

10.2%

1-2

10.0%

0-0

8.3%

1-0

7.0%

2-1

5.5%

0-3

5.4%

1-3

4.8%

2-2

4.6%

2-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score