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Zenit vs CSKA Moskva 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Zenit1–2
CSKA MoskvaOn these chances Zenit would usually take 1.6 points and CSKA Moskva 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Zenit.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Zenit vs CSKA Moskva stats: how the match was played
Premier League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Zenit had clearly more shots on target
Zenit
CSKA Moskva
8
Shots on target
5
5
Big chances
4
10
Corners
2
4
Yellow cards
3
69%
Possession
31%
Zenit vs CSKA Moskva — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Zenit to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,583 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Zenit ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Zenit 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
CSKA Moskva 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Zenit vs CSKA Moskva 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zenit vs CSKA Moskva. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Zenit1
CSKA Moskva2Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Zenit1CSKA Moskva2Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% |
| 47% | 53% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
19%
X-X
13%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
10.5%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score