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Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
Rubin KazanRubin Kazan

1–1

Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny
1.9Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Rubin Kazan would usually take 1.4 points and Akhmat Grozny 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Rubin Kazan.

Rubin Kazan −0.4 pts vs chancesAkhmat Grozny −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Akhmat Grozny had more than twice the shots on target

Rubin Kazan

Akhmat Grozny

3

Shots on target

7

2

Big chances

0

2

Corners

8

0

Yellow cards

0

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Rubin Kazan and Akhmat Grozny ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Rubin Kazan win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Spartak Moskva – Rubin Kazan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rubin Kazan to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Rubin Kazan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rubin Kazan 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Akhmat Grozny Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akhmat Grozny 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Russia
Rubin KazanRubin Kazan1
Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny1

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

146%
X30%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT38%62%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rubin Kazan30%70%65%35%
Akhmat Grozny46%54%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rubin Kazan87%13%96%4%
Akhmat Grozny93%7%98%2%

1st Half

128%
X48%
225%

1st Score

148%
X13%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

20%

X-X

20%

2-2

17%

X-1

16%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

15.7%

0-0

13.3%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

9.5%

0-1

9.3%

2-1

7.8%

1-2

5.4%

3-0

4.1%

0-2

3.9%

2-2

3.6%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Spartak Moskva – Rubin Kazan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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