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Lokomotiv Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Robbed

Krylya Sovetov drew despite more chances

Lokomotiv Moskva

1–1

Krylya Sovetov

0.9Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Lokomotiv Moskva would usually take 0.8 points and Krylya Sovetov 2.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Lokomotiv Moskva.

Lokomotiv Moskva +0.3 pts vs chancesKrylya Sovetov −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Krylya Sovetov had more than twice the shots on target

Lokomotiv Moskva

Krylya Sovetov

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

57%

Possession

44%

The match between Lokomotiv Moskva and Krylya Sovetov ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Lokomotiv Moskva win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fakel – Lokomotiv Moskva prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiv Moskva to win

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,039 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 793 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.3% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Lokomotiv Moskva ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.

Lokomotiv Moskva Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiv Moskva 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Lokomotiv Moskva 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 971 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.

Krylya Sovetov Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Krylya Sovetov 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 79%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,530 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lokomotiv Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Lokomotiv Moskva1

Krylya Sovetov1

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Lokomotiv Moskva1

Krylya Sovetov1

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

151%

X28%

221%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	32%	68%	57%	43%	68%	32%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	68%	32%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	46%	54%	79%	21%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	57%	43%
	46%	54%	79%	21%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

136%

X42%

222%

1st Score

156%

X10%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

18%

X-X

18%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

14.0%

1-1

12.2%

0-0

10.2%

2-0

10.1%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

7.8%

1-2

5.3%

3-0

5.2%

2-2

4.1%

3-1

4.1%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Krylya Sovetov — Recent Form

Krylya Sovetov have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Lokomotiv Moskva have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Krylya Sovetov

Lokomotiv Moskva

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Krylya Sovetov

1/5

Lokomotiv Moskva

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Krylya Sovetov

1/5

Lokomotiv Moskva

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Krylya Sovetov

1/5

Lokomotiv Moskva

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Krylya Sovetov

3/5

Lokomotiv Moskva

4/5

First Half Result

Krylya Sovetov

3/5

Lokomotiv Moskva

4/5

Correct Score

Krylya Sovetov

0/5

Lokomotiv Moskva

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fakel – Lokomotiv Moskva prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).