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Akron vs Akhmat Grozny 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result
AkronAkron

2–0

Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny
1.4Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Akron would usually take 1.8 points and Akhmat Grozny 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Akhmat Grozny.

Akron +1.3 pts vs chancesAkhmat Grozny −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Akron vs Akhmat Grozny stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Akron

Akhmat Grozny

4

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

2

6

Corners

5

4

Yellow cards

4

0

Red cards

1

61%

Possession

39%

The match between Akron and Akhmat Grozny ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Akhmat Grozny win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zenit – Akhmat Grozny prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Akron vs Akhmat Grozny — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akhmat Grozny to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Akron Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akron 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Akhmat Grozny Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akhmat Grozny 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Akron vs Akhmat Grozny 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Akron vs Akhmat Grozny. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Russia
AkronAkron2
Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny0

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

130%
X28%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Akron39%61%74%27%
Akhmat Grozny31%69%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Akron92%8%98%2%
Akhmat Grozny86%14%95%5%

1st Half

125%
X42%
233%

1st Score

139%
X11%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

X-X

17%

1-1

16%

X-2

16%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

12.5%

1-1

12.5%

0-0

11.0%

1-0

10.5%

1-2

8.1%

0-2

7.3%

2-1

6.3%

2-0

5.6%

2-2

4.1%

1-3

3.5%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Zenit – Akhmat Grozny prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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