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Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskva 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Makhachkala1–3
CSKA MoskvaOn these chances Makhachkala would usually take 1.2 points and CSKA Moskva 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: CSKA Moskva.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskva stats: how the match was played
Premier League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
CSKA Moskva had more than twice the shots on target
Makhachkala
CSKA Moskva
2
Shots on target
5
3
Big chances
4
4
Corners
5
3
Yellow cards
3
48%
Possession
52%
Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskva — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
CSKA Moskva to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Makhachkala 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
CSKA Moskva 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskva 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskva. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Makhachkala1
CSKA Moskva3Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Makhachkala1CSKA Moskva3Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% |
| 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
20%
X-X
19%
1-1
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
14%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score