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Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moskva

Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moskva 0-5 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Fakel

0–5

Lokomotiv Moskva

1.8Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Fakel would usually take 1.5 points and Lokomotiv Moskva 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lokomotiv Moskva.

Fakel −1.5 pts vs chancesLokomotiv Moskva +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moskva stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lokomotiv Moskva had more than twice the shots on target

Fakel

Lokomotiv Moskva

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Fakel and Lokomotiv Moskva ended 0-5. Our AI model correctly predicted an Lokomotiv Moskva win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rubin Kazan – Fakel prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moskva — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiv Moskva to win

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 535 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 81%Bookmakers 76%

Our track record

In 1,703 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Fakel Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fakel 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Lokomotiv Moskva Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiv Moskva 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moskva 0-5 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moskva. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Fakel0

Lokomotiv Moskva5

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Fakel0

Lokomotiv Moskva5

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

131%

X29%

240%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	35%	65%	61%	39%	71%	29%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	61%	39%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	71%	29%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	39%	61%	73%	27%	91%	9%	98%	2%
	32%	68%	67%	33%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	39%	61%	73%	27%
	32%	68%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	91%	9%	98%	2%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

126%

X46%

228%

1st Score

144%

X11%

245%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

X-X

20%

1-1

18%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.1%

0-1

12.7%

0-0

11.4%

1-0

10.6%

1-2

8.0%

0-2

7.7%

2-1

6.9%

2-0

5.4%

2-2

4.2%

0-3

3.3%

1-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moskva — Recent Form

Lokomotiv Moskva have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Fakel have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Lokomotiv Moskva

Fakel

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Lokomotiv Moskva

2/5

Fakel

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Lokomotiv Moskva

2/5

Fakel

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Lokomotiv Moskva

3/5

Fakel

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Lokomotiv Moskva

3/5

Fakel

3/5

First Half Result

Lokomotiv Moskva

2/5

Fakel

1/5

Correct Score

Lokomotiv Moskva

0/5

Fakel

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rubin Kazan – Fakel prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).