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Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Kaliningrad

Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Akhmat Grozny

0–0

Baltika

0.8Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Akhmat Grozny would usually take 1.3 points and Baltika 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Akhmat Grozny.

Akhmat Grozny −0.3 pts vs chancesBaltika −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Baltika had clearly more shots on target

Akhmat Grozny

Baltika

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Akhmat Grozny and Baltika ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Akhmat Grozny win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Baltika – Rostov prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akhmat Grozny to win

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,117 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Akhmat Grozny Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akhmat Grozny 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Baltika Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Baltika 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 76%

Our track record

In 3,284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Akhmat Grozny0

Baltika0

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Akhmat Grozny0

Baltika0

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

140%

X28%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	55%	45%	66%	34%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	55%	45%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	63%	37%	86%	14%	95%	5%
	35%	65%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	63%	37%
	35%	65%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	95%	5%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

128%

X50%

222%

1st Score

150%

X9%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

21%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

13.2%

1-0

10.9%

0-1

9.1%

0-0

9.1%

2-1

8.5%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

6.9%

0-2

5.3%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

3.6%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika — Recent Form

Baltika have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Akhmat Grozny have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Baltika

Akhmat Grozny

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Akhmat Grozny

1/5

Baltika

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Akhmat Grozny

1/5

Baltika

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Akhmat Grozny

3/5

Baltika

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Akhmat Grozny

3/5

Baltika

3/5

First Half Result

Akhmat Grozny

3/5

Baltika

2/5

Correct Score

Akhmat Grozny

0/5

Baltika

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Baltika – Rostov prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).