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Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan

Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Spartak Moskva

4–0

Rubin Kazan

2.4Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Spartak Moskva would usually take 2.5 points and Rubin Kazan 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Spartak Moskva.

Spartak Moskva +0.5 pts vs chancesRubin Kazan −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Spartak Moskva had more than twice the shots on target

Spartak Moskva

Rubin Kazan

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

66%

Possession

34%

The match between Spartak Moskva and Rubin Kazan ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Spartak Moskva win with 67% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rubin Kazan – Fakel prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Spartak Moskva to win

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.4% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,847 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Spartak Moskva ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Spartak Moskva Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Spartak Moskva 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Rubin Kazan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rubin Kazan 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 87%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Spartak Moskva4

Rubin Kazan0

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Spartak Moskva4

Rubin Kazan0

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

167%

X21%

211%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	63%	37%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	14%	86%	42%	58%	69%	31%	87%	13%
	57%	43%	86%	14%	97%	3%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	42%	58%
	57%	43%	86%	14%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	69%	31%	87%	13%
	97%	3%	99%	1%

1st Half

151%

X36%

213%

1st Score

170%

X8%

222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

20%

X-X

12%

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

14.4%

2-0

13.6%

1-1

9.6%

2-1

9.4%

3-0

9.0%

0-0

7.5%

3-1

5.7%

0-1

4.5%

2-2

3.3%

1-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan — Recent Form

Spartak Moskva have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Rubin Kazan have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Spartak Moskva

Rubin Kazan

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Rubin Kazan

2/5

Spartak Moskva

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Rubin Kazan

4/5

Spartak Moskva

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rubin Kazan

4/5

Spartak Moskva

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rubin Kazan

4/5

Spartak Moskva

4/5

First Half Result

Rubin Kazan

3/5

Spartak Moskva

3/5

Correct Score

Rubin Kazan

1/5

Spartak Moskva

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rubin Kazan – Fakel prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).