Leaky
0/10Rubin Kazan kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 26%).
Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Clinical
Rubin Kazan are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+3goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Rubin Kazan 16% to winSpartak Moskva 60%
Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Spartak Moskva expected to score more than twice as many as Rubin Kazan
2.5 goals in total, in line with the Premier League average of 2.5.
goals expected
Spartak Moskva1.7Rubin Kazan0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Spartak Moskva to win
Our model 68%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.0% of the time (bookmakers said 71.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Spartak Moskva–
Rubin Kazan–Winner
1 68%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Spartak Moskva–Rubin Kazan–Winner
1 68%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
168%
X21%
211%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 43% | 57% |
| 58% | 42% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 30% | 88% | 12% |
| 97% | 3% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
151%
X36%
212%
1st Score
169%
X8%
223%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
47%
X-1
20%
X-X
12%
2-2
5%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.1%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Rubin Kazan: leaky and always on the scoresheet · Spartak Moskva: hard to break
0/10Always on the scoresheet
0/10Rubin Kazan scored in all of their last 10 (league 26% fail to score).
Hard to break
2/10Spartak Moskva conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan: attack vs defence
Premier League
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Spartak Moskva: good attack, good defence (1.55 xG, 0.97 xGA a game)
- Rubin Kazan: weak attack, weak defence (1.21 xG, 1.71 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Spartak MoskvaBookmakers: 60% to win today.+1.3
- Rubin KazanBookmakers: 16% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+3.0
Last 5 matches
Spartak MoskvaW
W
L
D
W
Rubin KazanD
D
D
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Spartak Moskva 3rd of 16 · Rubin Kazan 10th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Rubin Kazan games more often than the Premier League average (55%), in Spartak Moskva games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Spartak Moskva6 of 10
Rubin Kazan4 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Spartak Moskva5 of 10
Rubin Kazan10 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 224 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Spartak Moskva vs Rubin Kazan corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSpartak Moskva score late
Spartak Moskva
Rubin Kazan
6.5
Corners won · league 4.6
4.0
3.3
Corners conceded · league 4.6
5.4
2.1
Cards · league 2.3
1.9
4.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
1.7
50%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
43%
38%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
21%
86%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
31%
0%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Rubin Kazan1/5
Spartak Moskva3/5
Both Teams to Score
Rubin Kazan1/5
Spartak Moskva3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Rubin Kazan4/5
Spartak Moskva4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Rubin Kazan4/5
Spartak Moskva5/5
First Half Result
Rubin Kazan2/5
Spartak Moskva1/5
Correct Score
Rubin Kazan2/5
Spartak Moskva1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction