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Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2026/2027

Fair result
Richards BayRichards Bay

1–4

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
0.5Chances (xG)2.5

On these chances Richards Bay would usually take 0.3 points and Mamelodi Sundowns 2.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Mamelodi Sundowns.

Richards Bay −0.3 pts vs chancesMamelodi Sundowns +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Mamelodi Sundowns had more than twice the shots on target

Richards Bay

Mamelodi Sundowns

3

Shots on target

9

1

Big chances

5

2

Corners

7

0

Yellow cards

1

26%

Possession

74%

The match between Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns ended 1-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Mamelodi Sundowns win with 62% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mamelodi Sundowns – Durban City prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mamelodi Sundowns to win

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,065 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 804 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 78%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mamelodi Sundowns ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Richards Bay Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Richards Bay 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 87%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 119 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 86.6% of the time (bookmakers said 84.9%).

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mamelodi Sundowns 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - South Africa
Richards BayRichards Bay1
Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns4

Winner

2 62%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

114%
X24%
262%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Richards Bay55%45%87%13%
Mamelodi Sundowns19%81%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Richards Bay98%2%100%0%
Mamelodi Sundowns76%24%91%9%

1st Half

113%
X41%
246%

1st Score

120%
X10%
270%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

41%

X-2

21%

X-X

15%

1-1

6%

X-1

5%

2-X

4%

1-X

3%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

16.3%

0-2

13.3%

1-1

10.5%

0-0

9.9%

1-2

9.8%

0-3

6.7%

1-0

6.1%

1-3

5.3%

2-1

3.4%

2-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns — Recent Form

Mamelodi Sundowns have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Richards Bay have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
W
D
W
W
W
Richards BayRichards Bay
L
L
L
L
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
4/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
2/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
0/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
2/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
0/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
4/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
1/5

First Half Result

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
2/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
2/5

Correct Score

Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
0/5
Richards BayRichards Bay
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Mamelodi Sundowns – Durban City prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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