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Motherwell vs Falkirk 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
MotherwellMotherwell

0–0

FalkirkFalkirk
1.2Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Motherwell would usually take 1.7 points and Falkirk 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Motherwell.

Motherwell −0.7 pts vs chancesFalkirk 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Motherwell vs Falkirk stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Motherwell

Falkirk

1

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

0

2

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

2

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Motherwell and Falkirk ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Motherwell win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Motherwell – Hearts prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Motherwell vs Falkirk — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Motherwell to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Motherwell Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Motherwell 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Motherwell 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Falkirk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Falkirk 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Motherwell vs Falkirk 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Motherwell vs Falkirk. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premiership - Scotland
MotherwellMotherwell0
FalkirkFalkirk0

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

140%
X24%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%80%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Motherwell26%74%57%43%
Falkirk29%71%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Motherwell81%19%93%7%
Falkirk84%16%94%6%

1st Half

130%
X42%
228%

1st Score

149%
X5%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

2-2

21%

X-X

15%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

8.2%

1-0

8.0%

0-1

7.2%

2-2

6.1%

2-0

5.9%

0-0

5.4%

0-2

5.3%

3-1

4.4%

1-3

3.7%

3-2

3.2%

3-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Motherwell – Hearts prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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