1. Liverpool vs Juventud

Liverpool vs Juventud Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 13)

Hard to break

Liverpool conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 46%).

1/10Conceded first · Liverpool
Bookmakers: Juventud 26% to win

Liverpool vs Juventud score prediction

Primera Division

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Liverpool expected to create clearly more

2.3 goals in total, a little under the Primera Division average of 2.4.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Liverpool vs Juventud: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Liverpool vs Juventud — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool to win

Our model 47%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,096 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 79%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,636 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 49%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Liverpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool 0–1 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Juventud Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juventud 0–1 goals

Our model 75%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,568 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Liverpool vs Juventud — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Liverpool vs Juventud. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

LiverpoolLiverpool–
JuventudJuventud–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

147%
X27%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Liverpool26%74%60%40%
Juventud40%60%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Liverpool84%16%95%5%
Juventud93%7%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X49%
219%

1st Score

153%
X9%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

19%

X-X

18%

2-2

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.4%

1-1

12.7%

2-1

9.8%

0-0

9.2%

0-1

8.8%

2-0

8.5%

1-2

6.5%

0-2

4.4%

2-2

4.4%

3-1

3.9%

3-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Liverpool vs Juventud: the stats that stand out

Primera Division

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Liverpool: hard to break and always on the scoresheet · Juventud: brick wall

Hard to break
Liverpool1/10

Liverpool conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Brick wall
Juventud6/10

Juventud kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).

Always on the scoresheet
Liverpool1/10

Liverpool failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 30%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Liverpool vs Juventud: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Primera Division

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Primera Division gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Liverpool and Juventud games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Primera Division average (43%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 43%
Liverpool4 of 10
Juventud2 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Liverpool5 of 10
Juventud3 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 292 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Liverpool vs Juventud form and luck check

Primera Division

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Primera Division games

Juventud: results in line with their chances

  • Juventud
    JuventudBookmakers: 26% to win today. · 5 of 10 games
    +1.6

Last 5 matches

LiverpoolLiverpool
W
W
D
W
W
1st in table
JuventudJuventud
D
L
W
D
D
7th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Liverpool 4th of 16 · Juventud 10th of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Liverpool vs Juventud corners, cards and goal times

Primera Division

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.5
  • Cards: league 3.0
  • Goals before half-time: league 46%
  • Goals after 75': league 27%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

LiverpoolLiverpool
2/5
JuventudJuventud
1/5

Both Teams to Score

LiverpoolLiverpool
2/5
JuventudJuventud
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

LiverpoolLiverpool
3/5
JuventudJuventud
5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

LiverpoolLiverpool
4/5
JuventudJuventud
5/5

First Half Result

LiverpoolLiverpool
2/5
JuventudJuventud
4/5

Correct Score

LiverpoolLiverpool
1/5
JuventudJuventud
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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