1. Montevideo City Torque vs Racing

Montevideo City Torque vs Racing Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Banker as favourites

Torque won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 46%).

5/7Wins as favourite · Torque
Bookmakers: Torque 44% to win

Torque vs Racing score prediction

Primera Division

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.3 goals in total, a little under the Primera Division average of 2.4.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Torque vs Racing: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Torque vs Racing — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque to win

Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,106 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 76%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Torque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque 0–1 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Racing Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing 0–1 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Torque vs Racing — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Torque vs Racing. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

TorqueTorque–
RacingRacing–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

144%
X28%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Torque27%73%61%39%
Racing37%63%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Torque84%16%95%5%
Racing91%9%98%2%

1st Half

131%
X48%
221%

1st Score

151%
X9%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

19%

X-X

18%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.7%

1-0

11.4%

2-1

9.3%

0-0

9.0%

0-1

8.9%

2-0

7.9%

1-2

6.4%

0-2

4.9%

2-2

4.5%

3-1

4.2%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Torque vs Racing: the stats that stand out

Primera Division

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Torque: banker as favourites and leaky

Banker as favourites
Torque5/7

Torque won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 46%).

Leaky
Torque1/10

Torque kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 30%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Torque vs Racing: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Primera Division

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Primera Division gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Torque games more often than the Primera Division average (50%), in Racing games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 43%
Torque6 of 10
Racing5 of 10
BTTSleague 50%
Torque7 of 10
Racing4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 292 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Torque vs Racing form and luck check

Primera Division

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Primera Division games

Torque: results in line with their chances

  • Torque
    TorqueBookmakers: 44% to win today. · 5 of 10 games
    +1.4

Last 5 matches

TorqueTorque
W
W
L
W
L
2nd in table
RacingRacing
W
D
W
L
L
6th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Torque 3rd of 16 · Racing 5th of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Torque vs Racing corners, cards and goal times

Primera Division

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.5
  • Cards: league 3.0
  • Goals before half-time: league 46%
  • Goals after 75': league 27%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

TorqueTorque
4/5
RacingRacing
4/5

Both Teams to Score

TorqueTorque
2/5
RacingRacing
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

TorqueTorque
3/5
RacingRacing
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

TorqueTorque
4/5
RacingRacing
3/5

First Half Result

TorqueTorque
3/5
RacingRacing
2/5

Correct Score

TorqueTorque
0/5
RacingRacing
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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