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Central Español vs Cerro Largo 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)
Central Español vs Cerro Largo stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Central Español
Cerro Largo
4
Shots on target
5
5
Corners
1
3
Yellow cards
2
Central Español vs Cerro Largo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Cerro Largo to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Central Español to win.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Central Español 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Cerro Largo 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Central Español vs Cerro Largo 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Central Español vs Cerro Largo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Central Español0
Cerro Largo1Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Central Español0Cerro Largo1Winner
12 69%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 38% | 62% | 65% | 35% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 73% | 27% | 92% | 8% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 36% | 64% | 73% | 27% |
 | 36% | 64% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
23%
2-2
18%
1-1
17%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.2%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score