1. Montevideo City Torque vs Danubio

Torque vs Danubio 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)

Torque vs Danubio stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Torque had more than twice the shots on target

Torque

Danubio

3

Shots on target

0

4

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

0

0

Red cards

1

The match between Torque and Danubio ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Torque win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Torque vs Danubio — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Torque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Danubio Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Danubio 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Torque vs Danubio 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Torque vs Danubio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
TorqueTorque1
DanubioDanubio0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

146%
X28%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Torque25%75%59%41%
Danubio39%61%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Torque84%16%95%5%
Danubio92%8%98%2%

1st Half

134%
X45%
222%

1st Score

152%
X9%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

18%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.2%

1-0

12.4%

2-1

9.6%

0-0

9.3%

2-0

8.8%

0-1

8.5%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

4.9%

3-1

4.4%

0-2

4.2%

3-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Torque prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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