Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 3)
Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 3 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
44.4% implied
Peñarol58.3%14/24+31.3%Strongly above implied probability
Deportivo Maldonado41.7%10/24-6.1%Near implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Peñarol45.8%11/24-15.8%Below implied probabilityDeportivo Maldonado33.3%8/24-38.8%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.1% implied
Peñarol50%12/24-7.6%Near implied probabilityDeportivo Maldonado50%12/24-7.6%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
61.1% implied
Peñarol79.2%19/24+29.6%Strongly above implied probabilityDeportivo Maldonado75%18/24+22.7%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.6% implied
Peñarol29.2%7/24-24.4%Below implied probabilityDeportivo Maldonado50%12/24+29.5%Strongly above implied probabilityPeñarol2/24Deportivo Maldonado4/24Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Deportivo Maldonado and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Peñarol hit at 58% accuracy — that's 31.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 44.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Deportivo Maldonado sit 38.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Deportivo Maldonado–
Peñarol–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Deportivo Maldonado–Peñarol–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 60% | 76% | 24% |
| 28% | 72% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
X-X
20%
X-2
16%
1-1
13%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.3%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Deportivo Maldonado vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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