Danubio vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)
Danubio vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 5 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
42.2% implied
Peñarol56%14/25+32.7%Strongly above implied probability
Danubio23.1%6/26-45.3%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Peñarol48%12/25-11.8%Below implied probabilityDanubio42.3%11/26-22.2%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Peñarol52%13/25-3.5%Near implied probabilityDanubio61.5%16/26+14.1%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.5% implied
Peñarol80%20/25+32.2%Strongly above implied probabilityDanubio76.9%20/26+27.1%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Peñarol32%8/25-15.1%Below implied probabilityDanubio53.8%14/26+42.7%Strongly above implied probabilityPeñarol2/25Danubio4/26Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Danubio and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Danubio hit at 54% accuracy — that's 42.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Danubio sit 45.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Danubio vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Danubio vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Danubio–
Peñarol–Winner
X2 77%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Danubio–Peñarol–Winner
X2 77%
BTTS**
No 58%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 73%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 64% | 36% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 73% | 27% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
| 85% | 15% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
X-X
21%
X-2
17%
1-1
12%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Danubio vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks
Peñarol have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Danubio have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Danubio well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
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PeñarolDanubio