Danubio vs Peñarol 0-4 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)

The match between Danubio and Peñarol ended 0-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Peñarol win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Torque – Peñarol prediction & betting tips (Sep 30, 2026).

Danubio vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 5 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

43.2% implied

Peñarol60%18/30+38.9%Strongly above implied probability
Danubio26.7%8/30-38.2%Below implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Peñarol43.3%13/30-20.4%Below implied probability
Danubio43.3%13/30-20.4%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.8% implied

Peñarol46.7%14/30-13.2%Below implied probability
Danubio63.3%19/30+17.7%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.3% implied

Peñarol76.7%23/30+29.3%Strongly above implied probability
Danubio76.7%23/30+29.3%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Peñarol30%9/30-20.2%Below implied probability
Danubio50%15/30+33%Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol6.7%2/30
Danubio16.7%5/30

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Danubio and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Peñarol hit at 60% accuracy — that's 38.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Danubio sit 38.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Danubio vs Peñarol 0-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Danubio vs Peñarol. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
DanubioDanubio0
PeñarolPeñarol4

Winner

X2 79%

BTTS**

No 57%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

121%
X30%
248%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT36%64%63%37%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Danubio47%53%81%19%
Peñarol27%73%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Danubio96%4%99%1%
Peñarol84%16%95%5%

1st Half

121%
X48%
231%

1st Score

136%
X12%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

X-X

21%

X-2

17%

1-1

12%

X-1

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

14.9%

1-1

13.3%

0-0

12.3%

0-2

10.2%

1-0

8.9%

1-2

8.4%

2-1

5.0%

0-3

4.6%

2-2

3.9%

2-0

3.8%

1-3

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Danubio vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks

Peñarol have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Danubio have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
4 in a row
DanubioDanubio
1 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
DanubioDanubio
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
DanubioDanubio
3 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
2 in a row
DanubioDanubio
3 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
DanubioDanubio
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
DanubioDanubio
0 in a row

Danubio & Peñarol Teams in Best Form

PeñarolPeñarol
W
W
W
W
L
DanubioDanubio
L
D
D
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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