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Liverpool vs Boston River 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)
Liverpool1–0
Boston RiverOn these chances Liverpool would usually take 1.9 points and Boston River 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Liverpool.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Liverpool vs Boston River stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Liverpool had more than twice the shots on target
Liverpool
Boston River
4
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
0
7
Corners
4
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
45%
Possession
55%
Liverpool vs Boston River — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Liverpool to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Liverpool 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Liverpool 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Boston River 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Liverpool vs Boston River 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Liverpool vs Boston River. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Liverpool1
Boston River0Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Liverpool1Boston River0Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% |
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
X-X
20%
X-1
18%
X-2
11%
2-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score