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Defensor Sporting vs Danubio 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 8)
Defensor Sporting vs Danubio stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Defensor Sporting had more than twice the shots on target
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
4
Shots on target
1
2
Corners
7
2
Yellow cards
3
Defensor Sporting vs Danubio — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Defensor Sporting to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Defensor Sporting 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Danubio 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Defensor Sporting vs Danubio 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Defensor Sporting vs Danubio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Defensor Sporting1
Danubio0Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Defensor Sporting1Danubio0Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
 | 36% | 64% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
X-X
20%
X-1
16%
2-2
16%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Defensor Sporting vs Danubio — Recent Form
Danubio have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Defensor Sporting have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Last 5 matches
DanubioDefensor SportingOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
DanubioDefensor SportingBoth Teams to Score
DanubioDefensor SportingOver/Under 2.5 Goals
DanubioDefensor SportingOver/Under 3.5 Goals
DanubioDefensor SportingFirst Half Result
DanubioDefensor SportingCorrect Score
DanubioDefensor Sporting