Home
Leagues
Primera Division
Wanderers vs Boston River

Wanderers vs Boston River 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Wanderers vs Boston River stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Boston River had clearly more shots on target

Wanderers

Boston River

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between Wanderers and Boston River ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Wanderers win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

Wanderers vs Boston River — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wanderers to win

Wrong

Our model 38%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 80%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wanderers 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Boston River Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boston River 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wanderers vs Boston River 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wanderers vs Boston River. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Wanderers1

Boston River3

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Wanderers1

Boston River3

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

138%

X29%

233%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	33%	67%	59%	41%	70%	30%	90%	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	33%	67%	59%	41%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	70%	30%	90%	10%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	31%	69%	67%	33%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	35%	65%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	67%	33%
	35%	65%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

130%

X46%

224%

1st Score

148%

X10%

242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

19%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

1-0

12.2%

0-1

10.6%

0-0

10.2%

2-1

8.8%

1-2

7.3%

2-0

7.0%

0-2

5.9%

2-2

4.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Wanderers vs Boston River — Recent Form

Boston River have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Wanderers have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Boston River

Wanderers

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Wanderers

2/5

Boston River

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Wanderers

2/5

Boston River

0/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Wanderers

2/5

Boston River

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Wanderers

4/5

Boston River

4/5

First Half Result

Wanderers

3/5

Boston River

2/5

Correct Score

Wanderers

1/5

Boston River

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction