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Genk vs Standard Liège

Genk vs Standard Liège 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Genk

2–1

Standard Liège

2.0Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Genk would usually take 2.1 points and Standard Liège 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Genk.

Genk +0.9 pts vs chancesStandard Liège −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Genk vs Standard Liège stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Genk had more than twice the shots on target

Genk

Standard Liège

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

68%

Possession

32%

The match between Genk and Standard Liège ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Genk win with 59% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Standard Liège – Waasland-Beveren prediction & betting tips (Nov 6, 2026).

Genk vs Standard Liège — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Genk to win

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,807 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,168 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,988 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Genk ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Genk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Genk 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,820 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Standard Liège Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Standard Liège 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,575 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Genk vs Standard Liège 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Genk vs Standard Liège. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Genk2

Standard Liège1

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Genk2

Standard Liège1

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

159%

X22%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	57%	43%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	45%	55%	71%	29%	88%	12%
	45%	55%	78%	22%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	45%	55%
	45%	55%	78%	22%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	71%	29%	88%	12%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

150%

X33%

217%

1st Score

166%

X6%

228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

45%

X-1

16%

X-X

11%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

11.4%

1-1

10.5%

2-1

10.0%

2-0

9.7%

3-1

6.1%

0-0

6.0%

3-0

5.9%

0-1

5.9%

1-2

4.9%

2-2

4.6%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Genk vs Standard Liège — Recent Form

Genk have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Standard Liège have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Genk

Standard Liège

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Standard Liège

3/5

Genk

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Standard Liège

4/5

Genk

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Standard Liège

2/5

Genk

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Standard Liège

4/5

Genk

5/5

First Half Result

Standard Liège

3/5

Genk

3/5

Correct Score

Standard Liège

1/5

Genk

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Standard Liège – Waasland-Beveren prediction & betting tips (Nov 6, 2026).