Shot-shy
6/8Kortrijk failed to score in 6 of their last 8 (league 28%).
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Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Unlucky
Kortrijk are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 8 with xG
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Kortrijk 23% to winStandard Liège 53%
Standard Liège vs Kortrijk score prediction
Pro League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Standard Liège expected to create clearly more
2.6 goals in total, a little under the Pro League average of 2.8.
goals expected
Standard Liège1.6Kortrijk1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Standard Liège vs Kortrijk: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Standard Liège vs Kortrijk — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Pro League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Standard Liège to win
Our model 45%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 3,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Standard Liège vs Kortrijk — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Standard Liège vs Kortrijk. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Standard Liège–
Kortrijk–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Standard Liège–Kortrijk–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
145%
X25%
230%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% |
| 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
135%
X41%
224%
1st Score
155%
X6%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-X
15%
2-2
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Standard Liège vs Kortrijk: the stats that stand out
Pro League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Kortrijk: shot-shy, always chasing and leaky
6/8Always chasing
7/8Kortrijk conceded first in 7 of their last 8 (league 47%).
Leaky
1/8Kortrijk kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 8 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Standard Liège vs Kortrijk: attack vs defence
Pro League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Pro League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Standard Liège: good attack, weak defence (1.61 xG, 1.63 xGA a game)
- Kortrijk: weak attack, weak defence (1.10 xG, 1.67 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Standard Liège vs Kortrijk form and luck check
Pro League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Pro League gamesKortrijk are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Standard LiègeBookmakers: 53% to win today.+0.3
- KortrijkBookmakers: 23% to win today. · 8 of 10 gamesWasteful · −6 goals−4.0
Last 5 matches
Standard LiègeL
L
L
W
W
KortrijkL
W
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Standard Liège 11th of 18 · Kortrijk 18th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Standard Liège vs Kortrijk: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Pro League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Pro League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Kortrijk games less often than the Pro League average (51%), in Standard Liège games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Standard Liège6 of 10
Kortrijk5 of 8
BTTSleague 51%
Standard Liège6 of 10
Kortrijk1 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 300 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Standard Liège vs Kortrijk corners, cards and goal times
Pro League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameKortrijk: last 8 with these statsGoal times close to the Pro League average
Standard Liège
Kortrijk
5.6
Corners won · league 5.1
3.5
5.6
Corners conceded · league 5.1
5.5
1.5
Cards · league 1.9
2.3
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.8
47%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
50%
7%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
0%
31%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
44%
44%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
28%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Standard Liège3/5
Kortrijk5/5
Both Teams to Score
Standard Liège3/5
Kortrijk0/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Standard Liège3/5
Kortrijk2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Standard Liège4/5
Kortrijk5/5
First Half Result
Standard Liège3/5
Kortrijk3/5
Correct Score
Standard Liège0/5
Kortrijk1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction