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Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truiden

Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truiden 3-3 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Robbed

Cercle Brugge drew despite more chances

Cercle Brugge

3–3

Sint-Truiden

2.9Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Cercle Brugge would usually take 2.1 points and Sint-Truiden 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sint-Truiden.

Cercle Brugge −1.1 pts vs chancesSint-Truiden +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truiden stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Cercle Brugge

Sint-Truiden

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Cercle Brugge and Sint-Truiden ended 3-3. Our AI model predicted a Cercle Brugge win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truiden — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cercle Brugge to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sint-Truiden to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Cercle Brugge Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cercle Brugge 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Sint-Truiden Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truiden 3-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truiden. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Cercle Brugge3

Sint-Truiden3

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Cercle Brugge3

Sint-Truiden3

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

140%

X25%

236%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	54%	46%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	57%	43%	80%	20%	93%	7%
	28%	72%	59%	41%	83%	17%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	57%	43%
	28%	72%	59%	41%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	93%	7%
	83%	17%	93%	7%

1st Half

133%

X40%

227%

1st Score

149%

X5%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

20%

X-X

15%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

8.0%

1-0

7.5%

0-1

7.0%

2-2

6.3%

2-0

5.6%

0-0

5.3%

0-2

5.3%

3-1

4.5%

1-3

3.9%

3-2

3.6%

3-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score