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KV Kortrijk vs SK Beveren

Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Kortrijk

1–0

Waasland-Beveren

2.2Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Kortrijk would usually take 2.5 points and Waasland-Beveren 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Waasland-Beveren.

Kortrijk +0.5 pts vs chancesWaasland-Beveren −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Kortrijk had more than twice the shots on target

Kortrijk

Waasland-Beveren

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Kortrijk and Waasland-Beveren ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Kortrijk win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kortrijk – Mechelen prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kortrijk to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Waasland-Beveren to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Kortrijk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kortrijk 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Waasland-Beveren Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Waasland-Beveren 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Kortrijk1

Waasland-Beveren0

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Kortrijk1

Waasland-Beveren0

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

141%

X23%

236%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	34%	66%	46%	54%	72%	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	34%	66%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	46%	54%	72%	28%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	51%	49%	76%	24%	90%	10%
	27%	73%	56%	44%	79%	21%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	51%	49%
	27%	73%	56%	44%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	76%	24%	90%	10%
	79%	21%	92%	8%

1st Half

131%

X41%

228%

1st Score

149%

X4%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

21%

X-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-2

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.4%

2-1

8.9%

1-2

8.0%

2-2

7.0%

1-0

5.9%

0-1

5.6%

2-0

5.1%

3-1

4.9%

1-3

4.3%

0-2

4.2%

3-2

4.1%

0-0

3.8%

2-3

3.6%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren — Recent Form

Waasland-Beveren have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Kortrijk have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Waasland-Beveren

Kortrijk

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Kortrijk

5/5

Waasland-Beveren

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Kortrijk

0/5

Waasland-Beveren

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Kortrijk

2/5

Waasland-Beveren

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Kortrijk

5/5

Waasland-Beveren

3/5

First Half Result

Kortrijk

3/5

Waasland-Beveren

3/5

Correct Score

Kortrijk

1/5

Waasland-Beveren

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kortrijk – Mechelen prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).